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Portfolio and renewal discipline

A portfolio is a set of recurring obligations. Renewal decisions, taken in bulk and without evidence, are where most of the return in domain investing is quietly lost.

Every name held creates an annual liability and, for most names, no revenue. The discipline that separates a portfolio from a collection is a repeatable process for deciding what stays. That process runs on the record of what each name has actually done, not on the reason it was registered.

Sell through rate as a management number

Sell through rate is the share of names sold in a period against the number held. It is a measurement of turnover, not a forecast, and it behaves differently depending on the portfolio it describes. A small holding of strong names produces a low rate with large individual outcomes. A large holding of weak names produces a low rate for the opposite reason. The definitions and the way each is calculated are set out in market metrics explained.

The number is useful when it is tracked over several years and compared against itself. A rate that falls while the portfolio grows means names are being added faster than the market absorbs them, which is a purchasing problem rather than a sales problem. A rate that holds steady while the portfolio shrinks means pruning is working.

Evidence to keep per name

Renewal decisions need a small, consistent record for each name. Five fields cover it:

  • Date acquired and how, since hand registrations, auction purchases and private acquisitions behave differently
  • Every enquiry received, with date and amount, including the ones that went nowhere
  • Any outbound approach made, and the response
  • Whether the name has ever resolved to a sales page, and for how long
  • The renewal date and the number of renewal cycles paid so far

The fourth field matters more than it looks. A name that has never been visible cannot be judged on its lack of enquiries, and dropping it is a decision taken without evidence.

Criteria for keeping a name

SignalReading
Repeat enquiries from different partiesReal demand for the term, keep and reprice
One enquiry, several years ago, never repeatedWeak, keep only if renewal is cheap relative to the rest of the holding
No enquiries after full visibility and a cycle of outreachDrop unless the term itself is improving
Term tied to a trend that has passedDrop, and do not renew out of sunk cost
Exact commercial term in a mainstream extensionKeep, these carry the portfolio
Long, hyphenated or awkward to spellDrop first, since liquidity is lowest here, as length and characters explains
Premium renewal attached at the registryJudge separately, since the obligation recurs at a different level

Pruning on a schedule

Renewal notices arrive one at a time, which encourages renewing one at a time without thinking. The alternative is to review the whole portfolio on a fixed date, well before the renewal window, and to decide the coming period's drops in one sitting. Decisions taken as a batch are comparative, and comparison is what exposes the weakest names.

Two rules keep the batch honest. First, judge the name against what it would be worth to buy today at its current price, not against what was paid for it. Second, set a maximum share of the portfolio that will be renewed on hope alone, and hold to it, because that share expands indefinitely otherwise.

Names being dropped can still produce something. Listing them clearly, at a level that reflects a wholesale rather than retail outcome, converts a small number of them before the registration lapses. Anything not sold should simply expire rather than being renewed for one more year at a time.

Adding names without inflating the problem

Acquisition discipline and renewal discipline are the same discipline seen from two ends. Each new registration commits the portfolio to a recurring cost for as long as it is held, and the decision to register is the last cheap moment to say no. Names bought because they were available, rather than because a buyer population can be described, are the ones that fill the drop list years later at full carrying cost.

A portfolio that has never dropped a name has not been managed. It has only been renewed.